Fall Frost Forecast!

Time Issued: 6:00 pm

Date: Fri., Nov. 4, 2005

To hear the evening forecast from your Clearwest Meteorologist, click HERE.

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For this morning's observed minimum temperatures - click Here

Discussion:  Tonight's forecast is the final forecast of the Fall Frost Forecasting Program. Orchard Rite will once again sponsor the Winter Arctic Outbreak Forecasting Program for south Central Washington - which will commence tomorrow, Saturday, and continue through the end of February. 6-10 day  outlooks for possible outbreaks of arctic air into Central Washington will be issued Tuesdays and Fridays through the end of February, 2006.

A weather disturbance moving southeast from the Gulf of Alaska will pass through Central Washington this evening.  Showers and gusty southwest winds will accompany the disturbance, with clearing and decreasing winds in areas expected behind it overnight. Minimums should vary from the mid to upper 20s in the colder sheltered locations of the western part of the Yakima Valley to near 40 in the windier areas of the Basin.  Protection might be needed in the western part of the Yakima Valley after about midnight with the inversion expected  to become moderate with the loss of wind and clouds.  Saturday and Saturday night is going to be interesting!  A deepening low pressure system will move to the mouth of the Columbia River late tomorrow afternoon and through Central Washington early tomorrow night.  Rain is expected to begin about midday and continue into the early hours of the night.  As the low moves east, clearing will occur and minimums will once again drop to the mid to upper 20s in the sheltered locations of the Mid and Upper Yakima Valley to the lower 40s in the windier areas of the Lower Valley and Basin.  The cold front associated with the low will hang up over northeastern Oregon Sunday and Sunday night, giving cloudy periods and a chance of rain to the southeastern part of the Basin.  Minimums Sunday night should vary from the upper 20s in the western part of  the Yakima Valley to near 40 in the southeast.  The upper level trough following the low will  move inland Monday with a westerly flow aloft setting up over our area Monday night into the latter part of next week.  Bands of moisture embedded in the flow will give us cloudy periods with maybe a shower or two, but mainly over the mountains.  Overnight lows from Monday night into the latter part of the week should hold in the 30s to lower 40s, though could dip to the mid 20s in the colder locations any night with prolonged clearing.

TONIGHT
Weather:   Showers and gusty southwest winds this evening.  Becoming partly cloudy with decreasing winds in areas overnight.
Minimum Temp:  Mid to upper 20s colder locations western part of Yakima Valley to near 40 windier areas of Basin.
Protection:   Might be needed western part of Yakima Valley after about midnight.
Ceiling or Inversion:  Becoming moderate with the loss of wind and clouds

The 4p.m. temperature at Yakima Airport was 48 with a dewpoint of 35.
The 4p.m. temperature at Hanford was 51 with a dewpoint of 34.
The 4p.m. temperature at Walla Walla was 51 with a dewpoint of 34.
The 4p.m. wind at Rattlesnake Ridge was southwest at 30 mph.

KEY STATION FORECASTS

Wapato PAWS

29

Mattawa PAWS

32

Buena Heights PAWS

30

Pasco Airport

AF

Sunnyside Airport Ranch

31

100 Circles PAWS

AF

Port Sunnyside PAWS

32

Fishhook PAWS

AF

Benton City PAWS

AF

Touchet PAWS

AF

SAF= Slightly above freezing (33 or 34);   AF= Above freezing (35 or higher)


See Map of Key Station Locations - click Here


SATURDAY AND SATURDAY NIGHT
Weather:  Increasing clouds morning with rain - snow at the higher elevations - beginning about midday - continuing into the early night.  Becoming partly cloudy overnight.  Increasing southerly winds during the day, switching to the southwest late afternoon and decreasing Mid and Upper  Yakima Valley overnight.
Maximum Temp:  Upper 40s to lower 50s.
Minimum Temp:  Mid to upper 20s colder locations western part of Yakima Valley to lower 40s windier areas of Lower Valley and Basin.
Protection:  Might be needed colder wind sheltered locations western part Yakima Valley.

SUNDAY AND SUNDAY NIGHT
Weather:  Partly to mostly cloudy with chance showers southeast part afternoon and night.
Maximum Temp:  45-55.
Minimum Temp:  Upper 20s western part Yakima Valley to near 40 southeast.
Protection:  Slight chance colder locations western part Yakima Valley.

MONDAY  THROUGH  WEDNESDAY NIGHT:  Partly cloudy to at times cloudy with a  chance of showers - mainly over the mountains.  Highs mostly 45-55.  Lows 30s to lower 40s, though dipping to mid 20s colder locations nights with prolonged clearing.

Copyright 2005 Clearwest, Inc.  No part of this publication may be reproduced for commercial purposes.

Bud Graves, Clearwest Agricultural Weather Service

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